Not much to report...

It's been awhile since I've done any sort of substantive analysis of what's going on. Really, the biggest things worth noting are that Fred Thompson officially declared his candidacy (and got the corresponding boost in poll numbers), and that John McCain is back on the radar. Both of these appear to be at the expense of Mitt Romney. What's even more interesting is that it appears that Thompson's announcement has had no effect on Giuliani's numbers. This tells me that Giuliani has his core group of supporters, and that's not likely to change significantly in the coming months. It also tells me that Romney, McCain and Thompson are vying for the a different group of supporters, and if one of those three drops out, that support will shift to one of the other two.