Thursday, January 31, 2008
I need to check my math more
I recently said I expected McCain to pick up something on the order of 400 delegates on Tuesday. Then I did the delegate math: there are 1081 at stake, and I expect McCain not only to win, but to win handily. So I'm revising my projections slightly: McCain will pick up close to 600, with Huckabee and Romney splitting the rest. Huckabee will do well enough that he may not bow out immediately - but only if the added delegates bring added money.
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